PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

trzorira2

0x6d71b0c9ec5dcaef2dd072b50ef8abe431ef82e5

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$279.5k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$28.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.979$6.6k+$158.45
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.977$3.7k+$63.75
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9410.946$2.8k+$13.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7860.750$1.9k$94.45
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8530.952$1.9k+$198.22
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9050.977$1.2k+$91.02
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9670.962$1.2k$5.42
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9480.953$1.1k+$5.29
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9570.975$1.0k+$18.55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.930$930.00+$0.00
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9600.971$768.64+$8.32
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8960.915$732.00+$15.00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4210.460$643.18+$54.33
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.971$485.51+$20.50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8700.905$452.50+$17.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:13Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.97$972.04
08-02 17:53Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.946$949.59
07-23 17:16Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?BUY0.87$174.00
07-23 17:05Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?BUY0.87$348.00
07-23 16:49Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.93$372.00
07-23 16:27Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.977$24.99
07-23 16:27Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.978$94.90
07-23 16:26Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9756775827$635.79
07-23 16:25Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.43$172.00
07-23 16:25Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.28$112.00
07-23 16:24Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.43$175.01
07-23 16:24Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.28$126.00
07-23 16:15Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2$200.00
07-23 16:14Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.14$140.00
07-23 16:14Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2$200.00