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Traders

lacuna-m1

0x307fe0255c2076697775fcc6be19dd17474cc327

Realised P&L
$-6.9k
Volume
$97.9k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$547.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2180.165$204.60$65.80
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.4100.270$135.00$70.00
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3100.130$42.12$58.32
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.1220.049$40.16$59.84
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? · No0.3300.385$38.50+$5.50
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1260.055$27.50$35.66
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.5500.245$24.50$30.50
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2500.105$21.00$29.00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$5.50$4.50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.4140.042$4.15$37.25
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0900.047$2.63$2.41
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.1450.075$1.88$1.76
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$13.44
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5720.000$0.00$45.17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.0050.000$0.00$30.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 05:36Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?BUY0.33$33.00
09-01 05:34Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?BUY0.31$38.44
08-18 06:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.840846809$1.7k
08-18 06:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.8$37.99
07-16 22:46Will Trump accuse Canada of election interference by July 16?BUY0.016$0.14
07-07 08:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.999$1.4k
05-14 15:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?BUY0.16$6.40
05-12 15:56Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?BUY0.74$44.40
05-12 15:55Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?BUY0.547$8.21
05-11 16:58Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY0.2886960303$66.40
05-10 20:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.55$192.50
05-10 18:36Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.4547726351$134.61
05-10 18:33Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.43$35.69
05-10 18:31Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?BUY0.5101806452$31.63
05-10 18:31Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?BUY0.4992826087$57.42