0x9dE6461495bD48520077608AC9eF012A6EaBE7f0-1782112143003
0x9de6461495bd48520077608ac9ef012a6eabe7f0
- Realised P&L
- $-178.99
- Volume
- $65.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,623
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,623
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.45at 0.360Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
- +$5.46at 0.398Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$4.07at 0.791Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
- +$3.64at 0.750Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.35at 0.660Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 22:52 | Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 08-26 16:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-22 00:31 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-21 16:45 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 08-10 02:23 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 07-28 20:17 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 07-26 20:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 07-26 02:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.939 | $0.94 |
| 07-26 02:20 | Tim Walz in jail by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.98 |
| 07-26 02:20 | Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.944 | $1.04 |
| 07-26 02:20 | Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.38 |
| 07-26 02:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.939 | $2.22 |
| 07-26 02:20 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.32 |
| 07-26 02:20 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.36 |
| 07-26 02:20 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.44 |