.0.
0x6cf833cd47e3cc3c6a5dd993b8ec362ec09f042f
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $128.1k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.202Trump wins every swing state?
- +$910.00at 0.090GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
- +$880.70at 0.547Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
- +$790.00at 0.2102024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$768.00at 0.382Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 01:43 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 03-01 05:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.41 | $410.00 |
| 03-01 04:33 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.32 | $640.00 |
| 11-16 20:16 | Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 11-05 04:37 | Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9679787045 | $1000.00 |
| 11-04 23:57 | Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%? | BUY | 0.7699999996 | $150.00 |
| 11-04 23:55 | Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $500.00 |
| 11-04 23:54 | Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? | BUY | 0.8099999999 | $500.00 |
| 11-04 21:36 | Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.381647265 | $50.00 |
| 11-04 21:20 | Will Zohran Mamdani win by more than 25%? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $1000.00 |
| 11-04 21:10 | Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3367975357 | $200.00 |
| 11-04 21:06 | Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%? | BUY | 0.6903540252 | $200.00 |
| 11-04 21:02 | Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.3899598332 | $200.00 |
| 11-04 20:56 | Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%? | BUY | 0.2223025945 | $500.00 |
| 11-04 20:55 | Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%? | BUY | 0.2573849684 | $500.00 |