PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Copezilla

0x9f086ae32344b489a004109f06fced08154273a8

Realised P&L
$-592.42
Volume
$2.89M
Markets traded
1,030
Open portfolio
$40.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,030
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$9.4k+$3.3k
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.255$4.5k+$1.8k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$2.6k$3.4k
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3040.610$2.2k+$1.1k
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.8450.945$1.8k+$193.17
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8900.952$1.6k+$101.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5730.185$1.5k$3.1k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8060.855$1.4k+$80.25
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0510.064$1.2k+$240.91
US recession by end of 2027? · Yes0.3280.365$1.1k+$108.98
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9130.958$1.1k+$48.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3820.125$1.0k$2.1k
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2150.055$873.55$2.5k
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.4170.136$860.94$1.8k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7720.935$695.26+$121.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:22US recession by end of 2027?BUY0.37$202.86
09-15 15:08Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.11$538.72
09-14 18:22Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.29$290.00
09-14 18:08US recession by end of 2027?BUY0.32$45.04
09-14 04:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.79$1.2k
09-13 07:49Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.83$249.00
09-13 07:47Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.83$415.00
09-13 07:38Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.504$50.40
09-13 07:38Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.48$330.00
09-12 19:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$600.00
09-11 14:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$120.00
09-11 14:46No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.799$7.99
09-11 14:46No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.7945$79.45
09-11 14:46No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.786$39.30
09-11 14:45No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.782$39.10