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Traders

iraa3

0xad6092f0ab7cda2a84977d18cabecbdbe4e397f4

Realised P&L
$7.2k
Volume
$1.54M
Markets traded
379
Open portfolio
$201.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded379
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9480.973$34.8k+$862.56
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.9800.995$21.8k+$325.49
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9580.964$16.8k+$96.46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4410.381$16.6k−$2.6k
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9630.966$14.3k+$31.54
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9290.945$12.1k+$202.80
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9580.974$10.2k+$164.28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3180.204$8.8k−$4.9k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9040.945$8.4k+$364.56
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9850.995$6.2k+$60.93
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6340.705$4.5k+$448.40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9650.980$3.8k+$56.87
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.183$3.7k−$336.44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.9570.967$2.9k+$27.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.915$2.6k−$39.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:36Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?BUY0.982$152.21
10-31 23:53Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.78$312.00
10-31 23:49Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$465.38
10-31 21:14Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?BUY0.94$188.00
10-31 20:45Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?BUY0.82752$82.75
10-31 20:43Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?BUY0.98252$98.25
10-31 15:02Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?SELL0.979$536.39
10-30 19:30Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?SELL0.977$410.34
10-30 19:28Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?SELL0.979$451.61
10-30 19:22Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?SELL0.994$367.02
10-30 19:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?SELL0.9963685333$298.91
10-30 19:19US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.997$1.1k
10-29 10:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$158.00
10-29 02:04Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.99$990.00
10-29 01:07Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.988$19.76
Trader iraa3 · PolyBot Pro