iraa3
0xad6092f0ab7cda2a84977d18cabecbdbe4e397f4
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $162.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.500Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$995.47at 0.500Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$886.46at 0.971Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$682.82at 0.770Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:19 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $2.4k |
| 09-16 23:57 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $2.9k |
| 09-14 23:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.53 | $530.00 |
| 09-14 22:39 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $239.00 |
| 09-14 22:36 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $956.00 |
| 09-14 22:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $991.00 |
| 09-14 21:48 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.97 | $56.70 |
| 09-14 00:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $997.00 |
| 09-13 11:29 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $31.34 |
| 09-13 00:38 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 09-12 12:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $13.80 |
| 09-11 23:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $498.00 |
| 09-11 13:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 09-10 14:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $495.50 |
| 09-10 14:39 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.97 | $10.02 |