PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

iraa3

0xad6092f0ab7cda2a84977d18cabecbdbe4e397f4

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$1.29M
Markets traded
317
Open portfolio
$162.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded317
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9470.958$32.0k+$356.78
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4400.512$21.4k+$3.0k
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9490.952$8.1k+$19.81
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9580.962$7.8k+$30.46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9610.970$7.8k+$72.90
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3250.162$6.7k$6.7k
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9670.980$6.3k+$82.39
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.9550.979$5.9k+$142.35
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9510.958$5.7k+$40.86
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9670.976$5.5k+$46.09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.221$4.4k+$413.56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9180.935$4.1k+$72.38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8770.895$3.1k+$63.51
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9640.977$2.8k+$36.34
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9460.952$2.4k+$13.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:19Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.958$2.4k
09-16 23:57Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.957$2.9k
09-14 23:342026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.53$530.00
09-14 22:39Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.956$239.00
09-14 22:36Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.956$956.00
09-14 22:02Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.991$991.00
09-14 21:48Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.97$56.70
09-14 00:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$997.00
09-13 11:29Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.983$31.34
09-13 00:38Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$4.50
09-12 12:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.23$13.80
09-11 23:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.996$498.00
09-11 13:10Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.78$15.60
09-10 14:41Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.991$495.50
09-10 14:39Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.97$10.02