iraa3
0xad6092f0ab7cda2a84977d18cabecbdbe4e397f4
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $166.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.500Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.1kat 0.500Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$223.16at 0.984Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
- +$221.89at 0.979Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $561.49 |
| 08-03 00:15 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.77 | $231.00 |
| 08-03 00:14 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.95 | $380.00 |
| 08-03 00:10 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.95 | $950.00 |
| 08-03 00:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $981.00 |
| 08-03 00:08 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.95 | $950.00 |
| 08-03 00:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98159564 | $981.60 |
| 08-03 00:07 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.95 | $763.80 |
| 08-03 00:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $294.90 |
| 08-02 20:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.42 | $210.00 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.949 | $566.00 |
| 08-02 20:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98313152 | $983.13 |
| 08-02 15:38 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9448217462 | $132.78 |
| 08-02 15:35 | Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $264.99 |
| 08-02 14:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.976 | $585.74 |