iraa3
0xad6092f0ab7cda2a84977d18cabecbdbe4e397f4
- Realised P&L
- $7.2k
- Volume
- $1.54M
- Markets traded
- 379
- Open portfolio
- $201.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded379
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.500Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$995.47at 0.500Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$886.46at 0.971Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$485.54at 0.959Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:36 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more? | BUY | 0.982 | $152.21 |
| 10-31 23:53 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.78 | $312.00 |
| 10-31 23:49 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $465.38 |
| 10-31 21:14 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 10-31 20:45 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.82752 | $82.75 |
| 10-31 20:43 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more? | BUY | 0.98252 | $98.25 |
| 10-31 15:02 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.979 | $536.39 |
| 10-30 19:30 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.977 | $410.34 |
| 10-30 19:28 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.979 | $451.61 |
| 10-30 19:22 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.994 | $367.02 |
| 10-30 19:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October? | SELL | 0.9963685333 | $298.91 |
| 10-30 19:19 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.1k |
| 10-29 10:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $158.00 |
| 10-29 02:04 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.99 | $990.00 |
| 10-29 01:07 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.76 |