PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

iraa3

0xad6092f0ab7cda2a84977d18cabecbdbe4e397f4

Realised P&L
$4.4k
Volume
$1.07M
Markets traded
255
Open portfolio
$166.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded255
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9690.980$28.8k+$318.32
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4400.460$16.5k+$714.86
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9390.946$16.3k+$113.26
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9730.982$14.0k+$116.77
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9610.974$10.3k+$139.66
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3400.278$9.8k$2.2k
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9680.976$8.7k+$69.82
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.970$4.9k+$72.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.755$4.5k$89.99
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.207$4.1k+$153.58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9180.925$4.0k+$28.88
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9450.955$3.8k+$39.01
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9470.951$3.7k+$15.06
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.9500.950$3.6k$1.30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9460.962$2.9k+$47.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:15Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.977$561.49
08-03 00:15Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.77$231.00
08-03 00:14Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.95$380.00
08-03 00:10Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.95$950.00
08-03 00:10Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.981$981.00
08-03 00:08Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.95$950.00
08-03 00:08Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.98159564$981.60
08-03 00:07Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.95$763.80
08-03 00:06Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.983$294.90
08-02 20:302026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.42$210.00
08-02 20:19Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?BUY0.949$566.00
08-02 20:17Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.98313152$983.13
08-02 15:38Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9448217462$132.78
08-02 15:35Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$264.99
08-02 14:44Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.976$585.74