PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x02187919A1bFb8E2Fe11F4a44c9db3520A2741aE-1760172430762

0x02187919a1bfb8e2fe11f4a44c9db3520a2741ae

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$29.6k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.6270.905$733.93+$225.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.2290.825$647.31+$467.31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No0.7150.955$620.75+$156.18
US recession by end of 2027? · Yes0.3650.365$279.99$0.01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4090.285$161.50$70.50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · No0.3920.620$158.10+$58.10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8340.920$110.35+$10.35
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? · Yes0.3830.775$50.56+$25.56
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2830.095$38.59$76.36
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0800.055$34.38$15.63
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2740.160$29.20$20.80
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0660.023$10.44$19.56
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0450.021$9.11$10.89
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1200.091$7.62$2.38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.005$3.44$1.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 17:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$5.00
09-15 17:46Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.0489999999$10.00
09-15 17:45Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-15 17:44US recession by end of 2027?BUY0.3663366326$80.00
08-23 18:37US recession by end of 2027?BUY0.3644851291$200.00
08-23 18:36Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.4599999983$100.00
08-23 18:28Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.3921626298$100.00
07-27 19:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1$20.00
07-27 18:59Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.266$93.10
07-22 19:14Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-22 19:12Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?BUY0.3831799336$25.00
07-22 19:10Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.08$20.00
07-22 19:08Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$50.00
07-22 19:06Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.65$65.00
07-22 19:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.54$161.99