PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x473cf7CC2aBF1E78033F13c647dE1Fc341040F94-1771088258313

0x473cf7cc2abf1e78033f13c647de1fc341040f94

Realised P&L
$616.89
Volume
$44.7k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$967.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0760.132$499.04+$210.78
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1020.185$122.99+$55.25
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5890.655$114.86+$11.66
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? · Yes0.2000.275$68.75+$18.75
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.4100.495$47.81+$8.21
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4400.595$41.65+$10.85
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3700.240$33.60$18.20
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.010$22.50+$0.00
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026? · Yes0.7200.175$8.20$25.55
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0700.085$8.00+$1.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$16.72
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$19.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Red–Green Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 07:21Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.41$39.60
09-18 07:19Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.047$39.29
08-19 19:42Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.07$6.59
08-19 19:40Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.009$6.75
08-15 21:14Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.56$42.20
08-15 21:10Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.771$43.21
08-11 21:10Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.784$43.94
08-11 21:04Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.046$38.46
08-11 20:55Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.094$182.73
08-09 12:30Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?BUY0.2$50.00
08-08 20:47Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.61$61.00
08-04 23:15Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.32$25.60
08-04 20:36Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.37$51.80
08-04 07:39Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.981$381.32
07-17 10:32Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.68$44.02