PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rainy59

0xe85845a5bf472014325ed44482aa0cbc92f05bc6

Realised P&L
$-991.74
Volume
$530.5k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$102.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)17.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2027? · Yes0.2700.340$68.00+$14.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.1410.055$19.82$31.14
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0060.005$10.83$2.70
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September? · Yes0.0290.007$1.40$4.51
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.001$1.12$9.83
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in September? · Yes0.0500.011$1.05$3.95
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in September? · Yes0.0590.020$0.16$0.30
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.16
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026? · No0.0620.000$0.00$8.06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$3.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 19:16Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?BUY0.0295571$5.91
09-12 19:12Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in September?BUY0.05$5.00
09-12 19:11Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.006$6.60
09-12 19:10Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in September?BUY0.059$0.46
08-26 08:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.15$7.50
08-26 08:55Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August?SELL0.041$4.10
08-26 08:54Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August?SELL0.0501187203$3.79
08-21 09:43Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August?BUY0.068$13.60
08-21 09:42Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August?BUY0.067$2.01
08-21 09:13US recession by end of 2027?BUY0.27$54.00
08-21 09:06Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$10.00
08-21 09:05Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$0.95
08-21 08:57Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$84.07
08-14 20:13Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
08-14 20:11Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.14$43.46