Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.21 to 0.25. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	725	725
0.24	885	1,611
0.25	1,012	2,623
0.26	1,472	4,094
0.27	1,720	5,814
0.28	450	6,264
0.29	562	6,827
0.30	1,610	8,437
0.33	122	8,559
0.34	1,382	9,941
0.35	1,091	11,032
0.36	1,343	12,376

Spread0.01Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	154	154
0.21	4,858	5,012
0.20	5,146	10,158
0.19	4,364	14,522
0.18	2,101	16,622
0.17	2,128	18,750
0.16	1,513	20,263
0.15	533	20,796
0.14	1,114	21,911
0.13	5,504	27,414
0.12	8,728	36,142
0.11	11,082	47,224

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	154	154
0.79	4,858	5,012
0.80	5,146	10,158
0.81	4,364	14,522
0.82	2,101	16,622
0.83	2,128	18,750
0.84	1,513	20,263
0.85	533	20,796
0.86	1,114	21,911
0.87	5,504	27,414
0.88	8,728	36,142
0.89	11,082	47,224

Spread0.01Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	725	725
0.76	885	1,611
0.75	1,012	2,623
0.74	1,472	4,094
0.73	1,720	5,814
0.72	450	6,264
0.71	562	6,827
0.70	1,610	8,437
0.67	122	8,559
0.66	1,382	9,941
0.65	1,091	11,032
0.64	1,343	12,376

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	29,732.84
0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115	Yes	22,435.67
BigBoiBettin	Yes	21,098.69
vovatoxic	Yes	11,037.46
mm4ker	Yes	10,352.56
Warren-Buffett	Yes	10,042.76
881112	Yes	9,319.51
Valen9	Yes	8,397.91
Crabinn	Yes	7,452.15
StoneMarble	Yes	6,999.99
surf	Yes	6,718.44
karachiking	Yes	6,550.36
AAVVAA	Yes	5,206.59
intwit	Yes	5,080
BigRabbit	Yes	5,000.04
GollumGekko	Yes	4,990.84
Geminae.Columbae	Yes	4,400.01
Metusalem	Yes	3,950
KnureKnume	Yes	3,010.33
Tommy91	Yes	2,934.25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:01:16	SELL	No	0.77	1	$0.99
19:27:43	BUY	Yes	0.23	10	$2.30
18:04:43	SELL	No	0.77	26	$20.09
17:51:31	BUY	No	0.7799999952	128	$100.00
16:33:55	BUY	No	0.7799999891	13	$10.00
15:30:18	SELL	No	0.78	60	$47.00
15:25:37	BUY	No	0.78	225	$175.44
10:53:36	BUY	No	0.78	13	$10.00
10:53:36	BUY	No	0.78	26	$20.00
10:53:36	BUY	No	0.78	8	$6.24
10:53:34	BUY	No	0.78	8	$6.24
10:53:15	BUY	Yes	0.2299999782	9	$2.00
10:19:21	SELL	No	0.78	125	$97.70
10:10:21	BUY	No	0.79	13	$9.99
10:10:19	BUY	No	0.79	25	$19.99
10:10:19	BUY	No	0.79	8	$6.32
10:10:18	SELL	No	0.78	13	$10.12
10:10:10	BUY	No	0.79	1,000	$790.00
10:10:01	BUY	No	0.78	20	$15.60
10:09:55	BUY	No	0.78	973	$759.06
10:08:36	SELL	Yes	0.22	5	$1.10
09:44:31	BUY	Yes	0.2299999948	21	$4.85
08:59:00	BUY	No	0.7799999991	87	$68.00
08:53:33	BUY	No	0.78	3	$2.00
07:24:51	SELL	Yes	0.22	139	$30.52