PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BigBoiBettin

0x48eec168fba4eb296ef39c57a009c43dc646008c

Realised P&L
$15.6k
Volume
$790.1k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$16.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3880.345$6.7k$832.74
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2790.140$3.6k$3.6k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2680.225$2.2k$426.00
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.2730.115$821.52$1.1k
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1950.155$396.60$103.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2900.245$367.50$67.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.055$325.00$326.69
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3220.290$270.53$29.47
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3030.185$243.86$156.14
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes0.1880.065$194.83$367.98
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.021$169.22+$9.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1870.115$147.52$92.51
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.3500.145$128.23$181.77
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$127.70$22.30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2250.095$109.68$150.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 19:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$360.00
07-26 19:32Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$360.00
07-24 09:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1$200.00
07-13 18:50Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2$100.00
07-13 18:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.29$154.36
07-13 18:47Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.22$4.62
07-13 18:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.345$34.50
07-09 01:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.12085015$241.70
07-09 01:02Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.075$150.00
07-08 19:41Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.9210050193$992.69
07-08 14:00Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?SELL0.1863515269$187.89
07-08 13:59Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9277823969$1000.00
07-08 13:45Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1954129545$500.00
07-08 13:44Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3215912458$300.00
07-08 07:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.26$520.00