BigBoiBettin
0x48eec168fba4eb296ef39c57a009c43dc646008c
- Realised P&L
- $15.6k
- Volume
- $790.1k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $16.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.9kat 0.098Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.9kat 0.271Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.403US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.408Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
- +$1.5kat 0.320US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 19:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $360.00 |
| 07-26 19:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $360.00 |
| 07-24 09:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $200.00 |
| 07-13 18:50 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 18:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $154.36 |
| 07-13 18:47 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.62 |
| 07-13 18:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.345 | $34.50 |
| 07-09 01:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12085015 | $241.70 |
| 07-09 01:02 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.075 | $150.00 |
| 07-08 19:41 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.9210050193 | $992.69 |
| 07-08 14:00 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? | SELL | 0.1863515269 | $187.89 |
| 07-08 13:59 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9277823969 | $1000.00 |
| 07-08 13:45 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1954129545 | $500.00 |
| 07-08 13:44 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3215912458 | $300.00 |
| 07-08 07:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $520.00 |