gesst
0xadaf1c42e0a88e2942e7adfe559e30c1796bf9f2
- Realised P&L
- $39.1k
- Volume
- $1.52M
- Markets traded
- 491
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded491
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.831Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.5kat 0.390Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$2.0kat 0.600Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.9kat 0.173Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$1.9kat 0.285Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:09 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3985555556 | $71.74 |
| 09-17 21:09 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3966330055 | $81.07 |
| 09-17 16:18 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR? | SELL | 0.96 | $89.52 |
| 09-17 16:02 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.328 | $4.85 |
| 09-17 15:44 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1394250311 | $63.97 |
| 09-17 15:29 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:25 | Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $119.52 |
| 09-17 15:19 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.1164937459 | $10.62 |
| 09-17 15:16 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.6482978723 | $60.94 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.55 | $245.50 |
| 09-17 14:46 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.979 | $0.72 |
| 09-17 14:46 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.9800333333 | $117.60 |
| 09-17 13:42 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.505 | $10.10 |
| 09-17 13:42 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.505 | $35.93 |
| 09-17 10:20 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.7779 | $155.58 |