PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gesst

0xadaf1c42e0a88e2942e7adfe559e30c1796bf9f2

Realised P&L
$46.8k
Volume
$1.63M
Markets traded
586
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded586
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:21Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.117$2.57
11-01 17:21Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1155$23.10
10-31 21:29Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.89$178.00
10-31 21:25Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9558044554$154.46
10-31 21:17Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.73$109.50
10-31 21:16Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.902$180.40
10-29 19:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?SELL0.53$84.79
10-29 19:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?BUY0.21$92.79
10-29 17:38Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?SELL0.7$140.00
10-29 17:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?SELL0.23$114.59
10-29 17:10Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?BUY0.38$38.00
10-29 16:41Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?BUY0.56$1.66
10-29 16:41Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?BUY0.3586877828$9.51
10-28 14:31Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.31$31.00
10-23 19:31Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?BUY0.6612216127$112.10