AAVVAA
0xb2c4fe566f6b499a321764113fc591644fd743e8
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $434.3k
- Markets traded
- 404
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded404
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.5kat 0.285Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$7.4kat 0.122Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.076US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$722.12at 0.031US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$426.15at 0.172Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 23:39 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999859 | $7.00 |
| 07-25 23:38 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 07-25 23:38 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.0102382726 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 23:37 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.2231860645 | $28.86 |
| 07-25 23:36 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999958 | $23.00 |
| 07-22 18:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 18:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 18:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3599999904 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 18:52 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999976 | $65.00 |
| 07-22 18:49 | Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 18:49 | Will the earnings call not air? | BUY | 0.0104465422 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 18:49 | Will Dow say "Iran" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 18:49 | Will Dow say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.0691098525 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 18:49 | Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 18:48 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.1159999939 | $15.00 |