AAVVAA
0xb2c4fe566f6b499a321764113fc591644fd743e8
- Realised P&L
- $607.66
- Volume
- $443.7k
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.5kat 0.285Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$7.4kat 0.122Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.076US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$722.13at 0.031US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$426.16at 0.172Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 17:18 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 17:18 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 19:37 | Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 19:37 | Will JD Vance say "Election" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 19:35 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 19:34 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 19:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0842208536 | $95.00 |
| 10-08 19:30 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $160.00 |
| 09-05 04:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 04:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.0219999979 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 04:18 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999962 | $30.00 |
| 09-05 04:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 09-05 04:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3515968342 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 04:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2322206096 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 20:14 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2610779845 | $80.00 |