PolyBot

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Traders

AAVVAA

0xb2c4fe566f6b499a321764113fc591644fd743e8

Realised P&L
$-7.3k
Volume
$440.2k
Markets traded
409
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded409
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3620.115$3.0k$6.4k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3910.225$1.2k$865.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2080.085$259.07$373.92
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2000.065$123.33$256.66
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2610.045$13.79$66.21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1600.080$7.50$7.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.0220.008$3.64$6.36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.1000.065$3.25$1.75
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0800.005$1.10$14.90
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0310.004$0.90$7.10
Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan? · No0.1490.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$10.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$58.00
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? · No0.0530.000$0.00$9.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 04:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.1$5.00
09-05 04:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0219999979$10.00
09-05 04:18Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.1399999962$30.00
09-05 04:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.24$12.00
09-05 04:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3515968342$100.00
09-05 04:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2322206096$100.00
08-12 20:14Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2610779845$80.00
08-12 20:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999994$300.00
08-12 20:12Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1263306832$150.00
08-12 20:12Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0341278502$50.00
08-05 16:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1747589659$10.00
08-05 16:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.025$7.00
07-25 23:39US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.1299999859$7.00
07-25 23:38US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?BUY0.08$16.00
07-25 23:38US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? BUY0.0102382726$5.00