PolyBot

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Traders

Hazya

0xe7955df433de55d19a8c3fb7f1f62c3a0d436068

Realised P&L
$216.82
Volume
$34.3k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$294.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2250.225$99.91$0.09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1600.115$82.66$32.34
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.0760.055$61.45$23.54
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes0.0490.021$39.26$51.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.085$5.74$19.26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0730.025$1.75$3.25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0330.006$1.61$7.39
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.025$1.02$3.98
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1050.018$0.88$4.12
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2250.025$0.57$4.43
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$5.00
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 00:57Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.08$25.00
09-08 00:56Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?BUY0.0316507362$26.00
08-23 19:42Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.0658900427$50.00
08-23 19:41Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?BUY0.0520333732$50.00
08-23 19:41Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.150785214$100.00
08-23 19:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2251961149$100.00
05-29 21:05Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0170000001$5.00
05-21 22:55Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?BUY0.08$5.00
05-21 22:54US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.299999997$50.00
05-19 21:11Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0197980598$10.00
05-19 21:07Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?BUY0.042685285$5.00
05-19 21:07Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?BUY0.0379999928$5.00
05-19 21:02MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999908$15.00
05-16 20:02Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?BUY0.0255931206$5.00
05-16 20:01Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.0349999935$5.00