VladimirPooper
0xa53e8fc4c2f9910e584de69d8b40a502a638218d
- Realised P&L
- $77.3k
- Volume
- $2.93M
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.145 | $9.6k | −$4.7k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.055 | $349.03 | −$464.39 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.225 | $14.21 | +$2.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.9kat 0.368Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$28.7kat 0.179Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.3kat 0.519Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
- +$663.82at 0.052Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$628.37at 0.426Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 01:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999894 | $12.00 |
| 08-20 20:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $126.00 |
| 08-20 20:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $360.00 |
| 08-20 20:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.8k |
| 08-20 20:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.8k |
| 08-20 20:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $900.00 |
| 08-08 21:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-08 21:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $24.50 |
| 07-25 21:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $84.00 |
| 07-24 21:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2677314996 | $1.6k |