0x47E838C90f2C14e599DED20BaC2c98538Ab0fAeE-1775608993061
0x47e838c90f2c14e599ded20bac2c98538ab0faee
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $189.1k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $7.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.760Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.2kat 0.819Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$624.64at 0.138Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
- +$293.30at 0.083Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$110.37at 0.901Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 21:39 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9306666667 | $279.20 |
| 10-28 21:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $46.25 |
| 10-28 21:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.924 | $55.44 |
| 10-28 21:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9234059406 | $93.26 |
| 10-28 21:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.923 | $27.69 |
| 10-28 21:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.922 | $257.24 |
| 10-28 21:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.0877632743 | $9.92 |
| 10-28 21:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.088 | $4.40 |
| 10-28 21:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.087 | $4.35 |
| 10-28 21:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.086 | $1.12 |
| 10-28 08:01 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $549.37 |
| 10-27 21:39 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $98.30 |
| 10-27 21:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $670.62 |
| 10-27 21:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779008969 | $197.35 |
| 10-27 21:36 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $11.71 |