Crabinn
0x725b3969c1b5d8bbfa09877e02f56593ad27f2e9
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $82.8k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.474 | 0.135 | $1.0k | −$2.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.425Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$263.13at 0.690US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$84.39at 0.915Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$73.80at 0.980US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
- +$52.50at 0.847Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 09:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4761834378 | $3.0k |
| 05-15 09:25 | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.8031089048 | $236.20 |
| 05-14 08:44 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.03727232 | $18.64 |
| 05-14 08:44 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.1903755317 | $81.01 |
| 05-14 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 14? | SELL | 0.92 | $103.55 |
| 05-13 21:15 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.7899627698 | $995.14 |
| 05-13 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.8420228114 | $100.00 |
| 05-13 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.8884339396 | $100.00 |
| 05-13 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15? | SELL | 0.1959405167 | $42.62 |
| 05-13 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 14? | SELL | 0.2882025715 | $65.90 |
| 05-13 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.4373121299 | $100.00 |
| 05-13 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.4596755436 | $100.00 |
| 05-13 14:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999998 | $500.00 |
| 05-13 14:31 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.7938193228 | $1.0k |
| 05-13 14:30 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4699999997 | $200.00 |