PolyBot

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Traders

Crabinn

0x725b3969c1b5d8bbfa09877e02f56593ad27f2e9

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$82.8k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4740.135$1.0k−$2.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 09:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4761834378$3.0k
05-15 09:25Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.8031089048$236.20
05-14 08:44Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.03727232$18.64
05-14 08:44Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.1903755317$81.01
05-14 08:43Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 14?SELL0.92$103.55
05-13 21:15Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.7899627698$995.14
05-13 18:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?BUY0.8420228114$100.00
05-13 18:43Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 14?BUY0.8884339396$100.00
05-13 18:32Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?SELL0.1959405167$42.62
05-13 18:32Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 14?SELL0.2882025715$65.90
05-13 18:26Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 14?BUY0.4373121299$100.00
05-13 18:18Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?BUY0.4596755436$100.00
05-13 14:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999998$500.00
05-13 14:31Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.7938193228$1.0k
05-13 14:30Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.4699999997$200.00