mm4ker
0x8c57f67ac7cc69a4cf96be5747cb2ed63dc9f939
- Realised P&L
- $57.7k
- Volume
- $2.56M
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $47.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.1kat 0.299MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$23.4kat 0.537US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$11.8kat 0.461US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.0kat 0.403US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$6.5kat 0.157US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 12:18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7599999998 | $2.0k |
| 07-26 11:17 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.4989904923 | $1000.00 |
| 07-26 11:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.4124715248 | $1000.00 |
| 07-24 22:42 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.6599999978 | $250.00 |
| 07-24 22:40 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.7599999999 | $1.2k |
| 07-24 22:40 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9441896454 | $2.0k |
| 07-24 22:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.8705707782 | $5.0k |
| 07-24 22:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.6k |
| 07-19 16:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $400.00 |
| 07-14 19:48 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2000659614 | $2.0k |
| 07-14 19:41 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.220312822 | $2.2k |
| 07-14 19:41 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.220620656 | $2.2k |
| 07-14 19:40 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2210552 | $2.2k |
| 07-14 19:39 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.231178302 | $2.3k |
| 07-12 03:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15459871 | $1.5k |