mm4ker
0x8c57f67ac7cc69a4cf96be5747cb2ed63dc9f939
- Realised P&L
- $54.2k
- Volume
- $2.72M
- Markets traded
- 389
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded389
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.5kat 0.307MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$23.4kat 0.536US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$11.8kat 0.461US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.0kat 0.403US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$6.5kat 0.157US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 09:07 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.8740999884 | $15.4k |
| 10-19 09:06 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $396.44 |
| 10-19 09:06 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.001846504 | $4.62 |
| 10-19 09:05 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.7573433611 | $556.87 |
| 10-19 09:04 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.9161762941 | $458.05 |
| 10-19 09:04 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | SELL | 0.9023316334 | $1.0k |
| 10-19 09:03 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | SELL | 0.7898421486 | $786.08 |
| 10-19 09:02 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.737279992 | $3.3k |
| 10-19 09:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $5.8k |
| 10-19 09:01 | Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.1k |
| 10-19 09:01 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.989 | $2.2k |
| 10-19 09:00 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9325976786 | $2.6k |
| 10-19 08:59 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | SELL | 0.9701986525 | $2.8k |
| 10-19 08:58 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.9754124725 | $3.5k |
| 09-11 13:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $58.71 |