mm4ker
0x8c57f67ac7cc69a4cf96be5747cb2ed63dc9f939
- Realised P&L
- $50.5k
- Volume
- $2.68M
- Markets traded
- 389
- Open portfolio
- $55.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded389
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.5kat 0.307MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$23.4kat 0.536US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$11.8kat 0.461US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.0kat 0.403US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$6.5kat 0.157US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 13:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $58.71 |
| 09-11 13:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1813343832 | $3.6k |
| 09-06 17:03 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.0877680518 | $263.30 |
| 09-05 23:35 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.17 | $134.04 |
| 09-05 19:46 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-01 09:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4099999998 | $750.00 |
| 08-31 18:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $713.52 |
| 08-31 00:12 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.6799999997 | $500.00 |
| 08-31 00:12 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999995 | $1000.00 |
| 08-31 00:09 | Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.0k |
| 08-30 19:51 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-30 19:35 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.7799999998 | $88.00 |
| 08-30 19:26 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $15.0k |
| 08-08 11:53 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $250.00 |
| 08-08 11:48 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.5k |