Valen9
0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d
- Realised P&L
- $229.5k
- Volume
- $32.09M
- Markets traded
- 825
- Open portfolio
- $383.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded825
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.6kat 0.240US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$145.8kat 0.372US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$85.9kat 0.644Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$70.8kat 0.305US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$26.6kat 0.348MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:21 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $169.20 |
| 09-13 22:50 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.40 |
| 09-13 22:29 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $6.51 |
| 09-13 19:01 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.1508650016 | $795.41 |
| 09-13 19:00 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.2036693237 | $260.88 |
| 09-13 18:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $44.80 |
| 09-13 16:33 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.4725391047 | $1.4k |
| 09-13 16:17 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | SELL | 0.4222716912 | $55.58 |
| 09-13 16:16 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.5075273015 | $1.6k |
| 09-13 16:10 | LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.33 | $1.1k |
| 09-13 16:09 | LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.32 | $9.92 |
| 09-12 16:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.8652899396 | $31.2k |
| 09-12 08:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.8k |
| 09-12 08:40 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.87 | $13.1k |
| 09-12 08:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $10.4k |