Valen9
0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d
- Realised P&L
- $357.0k
- Volume
- $28.88M
- Markets traded
- 735
- Open portfolio
- $660.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded735
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.6kat 0.240US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$145.8kat 0.372US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$85.9kat 0.644Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$70.8kat 0.305US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$26.7kat 0.348MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:42 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31? | SELL | 0.0433175256 | $28.96 |
| 08-02 22:41 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | SELL | 0.2828118849 | $30.17 |
| 08-02 22:41 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | SELL | 0.2963913949 | $42.71 |
| 08-02 22:40 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | SELL | 0.337860262 | $154.74 |
| 08-02 22:40 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 22:39 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | SELL | 0.2481274382 | $61.06 |
| 08-02 22:39 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | SELL | 0.2622955107 | $718.18 |
| 08-02 22:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.4k |
| 08-02 22:26 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5412912772 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 21:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 21:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $5.9k |
| 08-02 21:33 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.12 |
| 08-02 21:31 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.9730032665 | $2.9k |
| 08-02 21:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $37.88 |
| 08-02 21:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.0280020531 | $272.77 |