PolyBot

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Traders

Valen9

0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d

Realised P&L
$229.5k
Volume
$32.09M
Markets traded
825
Open portfolio
$383.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded825
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8390.885$45.1k+$2.3k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8590.964$37.1k+$4.0k
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.8180.945$26.0k+$3.5k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8430.885$25.1k+$1.2k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4970.605$25.1k+$4.5k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8370.835$24.8k$46.02
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.6950.755$23.6k+$1.9k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6240.645$19.2k+$615.56
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8380.945$17.3k+$2.0k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7510.835$14.0k+$1.4k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3010.135$12.1k$14.9k
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6910.720$11.5k+$460.02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6690.745$8.7k+$891.54
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6450.745$6.7k+$895.00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.5820.815$6.4k+$1.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:21Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.14$169.20
09-13 22:50US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$6.40
09-13 22:29Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?SELL0.9$6.51
09-13 19:01Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?SELL0.1508650016$795.41
09-13 19:00Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?SELL0.2036693237$260.88
09-13 18:36Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$44.80
09-13 16:33Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.4725391047$1.4k
09-13 16:17Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?SELL0.4222716912$55.58
09-13 16:16Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.5075273015$1.6k
09-13 16:10LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.33$1.1k
09-13 16:09LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.32$9.92
09-12 16:45Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.8652899396$31.2k
09-12 08:41Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.84$16.8k
09-12 08:40Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.87$13.1k
09-12 08:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.84$10.4k