Metusalem
0xa65ccb877d2cb355dc74ad3be7134de30ac732fb
- Realised P&L
- $15.5k
- Volume
- $4.15M
- Markets traded
- 973
- Open portfolio
- $11.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded973
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.225Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$2.7kat 0.288Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.934MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.304US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.238US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 08:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.693 | $104.45 |
| 08-21 05:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.809 | $202.24 |
| 08-18 12:20 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 08-12 07:44 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 08-12 00:53 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $180.00 |
| 08-12 00:50 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.85 | $127.50 |
| 08-12 00:48 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.85 | $102.00 |
| 08-12 00:46 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 08-11 13:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $44.20 |
| 08-11 03:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 08-11 03:28 | Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8 | $18.96 |
| 08-11 01:42 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 08-10 05:39 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 08-10 02:06 | Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 08-08 09:22 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $15.30 |