Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2028-01-01
Resolves by: https://x.com/0xProbable

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.453. up 0.385 over the period, from 0.068. Range 0.064 to 0.508. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.795	23	23
0.796	279	302
0.803	100	402
0.854	40	442
0.901	35	477
0.943	10	487
0.963	8	496
0.964	10	506
0.979	18	524
0.980	30	554
0.989	5	559
0.990	40	599

Spread0.683Mid0.454

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.112	40	40
0.111	7	47
0.110	6	53
0.051	22	75
0.050	13	88
0.049	18	106
0.048	11	116
0.047	110	226
0.046	100	326
0.043	30	356
0.042	11	367
0.041	40	407

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.888	40	40
0.889	7	47
0.890	6	53
0.949	22	75
0.950	13	88
0.951	18	106
0.952	11	116
0.953	110	226
0.954	100	326
0.957	30	356
0.958	11	367
0.959	40	407

Spread0.683Mid0.546

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.205	23	23
0.204	279	302
0.197	100	402
0.146	40	442
0.099	35	477
0.057	10	487
0.037	8	496
0.036	10	506
0.021	18	524
0.020	30	554
0.011	5	559
0.010	40	599

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	200.04
2B9S	Yes	167.51
GuyFromTinder	Yes	39.73
LornaPredicts	Yes	35.01
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.	Yes	23
planktonXD	Yes	1.21
helpinghans	No	179.41
Obiviouslynotaninsider	No	98.1
Scoopdewhoop	No	50
airdorpslooog	No	23
njk95	No	22
ccft678	No	21
56xx	No	16
explorer221	No	15.89
BullRunWaitingRoom	No	12.23
sludgelife	No	10.3
ccvve5	No	7.5
xxfr667	No	6.49
Xixihaha008	No	2.98
0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295	No	1.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:05:18	BUY	Yes	0.187	10	$1.87
22:43:00	BUY	Yes	0.211	20	$4.22
22:35:00	BUY	Yes	0.177	20	$3.54
09:01:52	BUY	Yes	0.123	58	$7.13
10:48:13	BUY	No	0.967	23	$22.24
22:57:17	SELL	No	0.9369837306	53	$49.53
22:47:40	SELL	No	0.962	53	$50.85
22:47:37	BUY	Yes	0.0349999996	62	$2.18
21:36:16	SELL	No	0.952	20	$18.72
05:05:10	SELL	No	0.954	15	$14.28
15:39:06	SELL	No	0.955	30	$28.65
15:38:34	SELL	No	0.943	15	$14.12
19:40:07	SELL	Yes	0.053	74	$3.92
20:45:36	SELL	No	0.94	60	$56.40
09:51:18	SELL	No	0.94	50	$46.86
08:17:21	SELL	No	0.94	16	$15.20
08:15:26	SELL	No	0.9445468	50	$47.23
08:11:09	BUY	Yes	0.05485	200	$10.97
08:00:12	SELL	No	0.9457059654	28	$26.79
21:59:39	SELL	No	0.937	10	$9.37
18:38:51	SELL	Yes	0.04	1	$0.02
09:38:46	SELL	Yes	0.042	30	$1.26
07:58:21	SELL	Yes	0.044	40	$1.76
06:38:49	SELL	Yes	0.044	40	$1.76
05:15:42	SELL	Yes	0.058	40	$2.32