56xx
0x8cf7a09ba17623b69e134ee4babb6bf415c217ea
- Realised P&L
- $-327.28
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $9.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.945 | 0.579 | $9.26 | −$5.86 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Bruins · Maple Leafs | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$315.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.72at 0.830Scroll airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.38at 0.985Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.36at 0.992Will Solana reach $300 in May?
- +$0.32at 0.910Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.22at 0.900Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 03:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 27? | BUY | 0.9979997067 | $2.79 |
| 02-24 03:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 03:21 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 02-24 03:21 | Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 03:21 | Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 03:20 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 02-24 03:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.918 | $16.29 |
| 09-29 13:53 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $33.61 |
| 07-17 10:20 | Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | SELL | 0.722 | $33.44 |
| 03-30 00:28 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9849999996 | $24.83 |
| 03-30 00:27 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.993 | $20.00 |
| 03-30 00:21 | Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.972 | $40.48 |
| 03-30 00:21 | Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.13 |
| 02-13 02:15 | Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.978 | $40.74 |
| 02-13 02:12 | Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $40.74 |