airdorpslooog
0x1ef79942634f0ce4508cfe86512ccfc4e9fe4c51
- Realised P&L
- $-161.44
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $234.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.996 | $92.63 | +$0.28 |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? · No | 0.960 | 0.966 | $48.27 | +$0.28 |
| Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.974 | 0.979 | $29.36 | +$0.14 |
| Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.967 | 0.958 | $22.02 | −$0.22 |
| Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.935 | $18.70 | +$1.10 |
| Will BNB dip to $500 in October? · No | 0.970 | 0.965 | $13.51 | −$0.07 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? · No | 0.991 | 0.992 | $10.12 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.33at 0.450Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" by April 4?
- +$9.00at 0.910Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- +$8.70at 0.920Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
- +$6.89at 0.770Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$6.38at 0.940US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 10:48 | Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.967 | $22.24 |
| 10-14 10:45 | Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.974 | $29.22 |
| 10-14 10:42 | Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 10-14 10:40 | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $10.11 |
| 10-14 10:38 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BUY | 0.992 | $30.01 |
| 10-14 10:38 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | BUY | 0.994 | $49.70 |
| 10-14 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 10-14 10:35 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $48.00 |
| 10-14 10:18 | Will BNB dip to $500 in October? | BUY | 0.97 | $13.58 |
| 09-23 08:16 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.993 | $92.35 |
| 09-01 07:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.993 | $49.65 |
| 08-29 03:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.87 |
| 08-29 03:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.9867105263 | $27.00 |
| 08-29 03:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.9853423992 | $40.58 |
| 08-29 03:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.09 |