BullRunWaitingRoom
0x231e41edeb444c11921721226bd552b2265e9297
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $561.4k
- Markets traded
- 639
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded639
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.315Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?
- +$744.02at 0.379Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6AM ET
- +$739.98at 0.300Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$714.83at 0.763US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 01:00 | Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0645492142 | $0.78 |
| 03-27 01:00 | Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.919 | $11.11 |
| 03-27 00:57 | Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0493883892 | $0.60 |
| 03-27 00:57 | Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.932 | $11.40 |
| 03-18 11:31 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $69.74 |
| 03-18 11:31 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $160.94 |
| 03-16 04:06 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.40 |
| 03-16 04:06 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | BUY | 0.9762977667 | $878.67 |
| 03-12 12:54 | Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.4 | $12.00 |
| 03-12 12:54 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | SELL | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 03-12 11:28 | Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.4 | $18.80 |
| 03-12 11:28 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | SELL | 0.6 | $28.20 |
| 03-12 11:28 | Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.4 | $264.00 |
| 03-12 11:28 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | SELL | 0.6 | $396.00 |
| 03-09 13:48 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $33.20 |