PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BullRunWaitingRoom

0x231e41edeb444c11921721226bd552b2265e9297

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$561.4k
Markets traded
639
Open portfolio
$9.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded639
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$6.1k+$2.2k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$1.7k$2.2k
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.989$790.80+$54.80
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.9860.973$196.89$2.63
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? · No0.9190.969$178.82+$9.03
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3270.825$81.26+$49.06
Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9000.923$61.65+$1.57
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7780.968$60.55+$11.85
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · No0.7490.885$46.91+$7.21
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8460.980$39.18+$5.34
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7400.895$29.54+$5.12
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.5940.900$23.04+$7.83
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8890.967$19.34+$1.55
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9320.959$11.72+$0.32
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.015$11.60$52.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-27 01:00Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.0645492142$0.78
03-27 01:00Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.919$11.11
03-27 00:57Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.0493883892$0.60
03-27 00:57Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.932$11.40
03-18 11:31Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$69.74
03-18 11:31Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.6$160.94
03-16 04:06Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?BUY0.006$5.40
03-16 04:06Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?BUY0.9762977667$878.67
03-12 12:54Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL0.4$12.00
03-12 12:54Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSELL0.6$18.00
03-12 11:28Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL0.4$18.80
03-12 11:28Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSELL0.6$28.20
03-12 11:28Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL0.4$264.00
03-12 11:28Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSELL0.6$396.00
03-09 13:48Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?SELL0.83$33.20