PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Obiviouslynotaninsider

0x6735022d2858959f61c520087fffa23fbb0af5b7

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$268.5k
Markets traded
520
Open portfolio
$8.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded520
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$5.6k+$2.1k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$1.5k$2.1k
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? · No0.9520.974$315.74+$7.03
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9900.978$97.75$1.25
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9570.959$94.03+$0.11
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6660.895$85.53+$21.86
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.976$79.26+$4.51
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6470.840$63.56+$14.57
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.9570.967$56.99+$0.59
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? · No0.3290.987$56.75+$37.81
Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.951$36.43+$2.70
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? · No0.9400.979$32.31+$1.29
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.5980.650$27.20+$2.19
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3260.340$25.73+$1.03
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8630.955$25.12+$2.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-22 03:59Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in April?BUY0.0045248$0.23
04-22 03:58Will Opendoor dip to $2.75 in April?BUY0.975$48.74
04-22 02:12GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.1496666667$2.25
04-22 02:12GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.8$12.00
04-20 01:50Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 Week of April 20 2026?BUY0.32$4.81
04-20 01:50Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of April 20 2026?BUY0.14$2.07
04-16 03:11Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?BUY0.26065$2.61
04-16 03:11Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?BUY0.7$7.00
04-16 02:58Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?BUY0.7071333333$106.07
04-16 02:57Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?BUY0.2$30.00
04-14 14:04Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?SELL0.68$26.66
04-14 14:04Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?SELL0.514$13.69
04-07 04:07Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.105382$2.11
04-07 04:07Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.8839$17.68
04-06 14:46Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $39,000 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.0143975$0.35