njk95
0xfddedd33b40afba6c11517fd13b857e8f13ef4d1
- Realised P&L
- $367.18
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $32.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.989 | $19.57 | +$0.50 |
| Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.937 | 0.579 | $12.73 | −$7.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.25at 0.480Clemson vs. Louisville
- +$0.69at 0.980Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.51at 0.991Will Solana dip to $80 in July?
- +$0.44at 0.992Will Solana reach $300 in May?
- +$0.34at 0.967Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 06:28 | Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.01 |
| 02-24 06:31 | Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.78 |
| 02-24 06:31 | Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.38 |
| 02-24 06:31 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 06:30 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 02-24 06:30 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 06:30 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 06:14 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629999912 | $19.07 |
| 09-30 06:31 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.995 | $56.13 |
| 03-30 08:26 | Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.41 |
| 02-17 14:03 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.98 | $34.00 |
| 02-17 14:01 | Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9669999594 | $10.00 |
| 02-17 14:01 | Will Solana hit $350 by February 28 2025? | BUY | 0.9949998744 | $4.00 |
| 01-20 08:05 | Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.996 | $47.81 |
| 01-20 08:04 | Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.88 |