PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ccft678

0xbe81d110d0ad65ee07d473c9cf2e8d9636dd4ae6

Realised P&L
$-349.77
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$28.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9620.984$16.37+$0.37
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9450.579$12.15−$7.70
Browns vs. Jets · Browns0.5400.000$0.00−$340.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-27 00:52Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9889998383$2.00
02-27 00:52Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9839999965$2.26
02-27 00:52Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9739999922$3.00
02-27 00:51Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.998$4.50
02-27 00:51Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.998$4.00
02-27 00:50Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.9779999971$4.00
02-27 00:50Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.9299997117$1.00
02-27 00:44Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.9619999741$16.00
11-08 14:52Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.978$35.95
11-08 14:48Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.994$35.95
09-29 09:22Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.997$36.06
08-31 11:41Will Solana reach $230 in August?BUY0.994$35.84
07-17 09:15Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?BUY0.996$35.70
07-17 09:13Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?SELL0.7522317741$35.70
04-24 03:18Will Bitcoin reach $150k in April?BUY0.999$21.01