ccft678
0xbe81d110d0ad65ee07d473c9cf2e8d9636dd4ae6
- Realised P&L
- $-349.77
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $28.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.984 | $16.37 | +$0.37 |
| Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.945 | 0.579 | $12.15 | −$7.70 |
| Browns vs. Jets · Browns | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$340.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.81at 0.978Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$0.33at 0.987Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.30at 0.601Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.27at 0.948Scroll airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.22at 0.993Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-27 00:52 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9889998383 | $2.00 |
| 02-27 00:52 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9839999965 | $2.26 |
| 02-27 00:52 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $3.00 |
| 02-27 00:51 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.50 |
| 02-27 00:51 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.00 |
| 02-27 00:50 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9779999971 | $4.00 |
| 02-27 00:50 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 00:44 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999741 | $16.00 |
| 11-08 14:52 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.978 | $35.95 |
| 11-08 14:48 | Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.994 | $35.95 |
| 09-29 09:22 | Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.997 | $36.06 |
| 08-31 11:41 | Will Solana reach $230 in August? | BUY | 0.994 | $35.84 |
| 07-17 09:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $35.70 |
| 07-17 09:13 | Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | SELL | 0.7522317741 | $35.70 |
| 04-24 03:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $150k in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.01 |