Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.621. up 0.021 over the period, from 0.600. Range 0.600 to 0.621. 93 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.621	63	63
0.624	6,932	6,995
0.625	2,000	8,995
0.626	400	9,395
0.627	353	9,748
0.630	32,892	42,640
0.631	147,733	190,373
0.632	8,200	198,573
0.633	200	198,773
0.634	41,707	240,480
0.635	274	240,754
0.636	54,000	294,754

Spread0.001Mid0.621

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.620	2,101	2,101
0.619	2,425	4,526
0.618	2,478	7,004
0.617	15,832	22,835
0.616	35,367	58,202
0.615	10,639	68,841
0.614	200	69,041
0.613	800	69,841
0.610	30,978	100,819
0.605	519	101,338
0.603	704	102,042
0.602	21,033	123,074

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.380	2,101	2,101
0.381	2,425	4,526
0.382	2,478	7,004
0.383	15,832	22,835
0.384	35,367	58,202
0.385	10,639	68,841
0.386	200	69,041
0.387	800	69,841
0.390	30,978	100,819
0.395	519	101,338
0.397	704	102,042
0.398	21,033	123,074

Spread0.001Mid0.380

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.379	63	63
0.376	6,932	6,995
0.375	2,000	8,995
0.374	400	9,395
0.373	353	9,748
0.370	32,892	42,640
0.369	147,733	190,373
0.368	8,200	198,573
0.367	200	198,773
0.366	41,707	240,480
0.365	274	240,754
0.364	54,000	294,754

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
qianbei	Yes	600
0xa169…1b73	Yes	200.63
LineEditor	Yes	161.29
Betbet111	Yes	62.57
AJSV	Yes	27.04
kurong	Yes	4.75
imnio	Yes	4.54
dececode	Yes	4.25
micromen	Yes	4.22
donqiang	Yes	4.18
daxini	Yes	3.93
umini	Yes	3.61
sangtian	Yes	3.52
ruyi686	Yes	3.24
mingzhai	Yes	3.11
yingchong	Yes	2.98
AliAlial	Yes	2.83
lumeror	Yes	2.72
kuluonio	Yes	2.61
yuwenqiushi	Yes	2.44

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:08:50	BUY	No	0.3799999561	8	$2.94
19:42:37	BUY	Yes	0.6209996768	2	$1.03
19:32:04	BUY	No	0.3799999855	6	$2.10
19:13:56	BUY	No	0.3799999683	4	$1.44
18:57:07	BUY	Yes	0.6209999446	5	$2.95
18:24:39	BUY	No	0.3799999793	3	$1.10
17:34:26	BUY	No	0.3799999619	7	$2.79
17:33:26	BUY	Yes	0.6209997962	3	$1.85
16:24:31	BUY	No	0.38	4	$1.33
16:23:33	BUY	Yes	0.620999927	4	$2.44
15:28:09	BUY	Yes	0.6209996768	2	$1.03
15:21:57	BUY	No	0.3799999559	6	$2.41
15:12:03	SELL	No	0.379	106	$40.34
15:01:10	BUY	Yes	0.6209998874	3	$1.76
14:48:19	BUY	Yes	0.6209998921	2	$1.22
12:30:37	SELL	Yes	0.62	16	$10.04
15:35:40	BUY	Yes	0.621	600	$372.60
04:46:59	BUY	Yes	0.6209998227	2	$1.03
17:01:54	BUY	No	0.3799999924	3	$1.00
14:49:13	BUY	Yes	0.62	184	$114.08
14:10:15	SELL	No	0.38	16	$6.03
13:51:54	BUY	Yes	0.6190794	200	$123.82
12:44:59	BUY	Yes	0.618999854	4	$2.59
11:58:32	BUY	No	0.3819999556	4	$1.48
11:42:23	BUY	No	0.3819999616	6	$2.29