PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Betbet111

0xde6dd891ab8f641ab01a310c03e06efc0898030c

Realised P&L
$237.97
Volume
$41.4k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.2870.328$1.8k+$228.68
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5980.405$1.6k−$783.18
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? · No0.7900.735$367.50−$27.50
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.3800.385$288.76+$3.75
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5850.615$138.38+$6.75
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? · No0.7800.785$92.63+$0.59
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17? · No0.7250.720$86.39−$0.60
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? · No0.8000.700$70.00−$10.00
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1450.119$64.62−$14.10
Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2900.295$50.71+$0.86
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.7800.810$48.60+$1.80
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3200.320$47.16+$0.00
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? · Yes0.2900.310$46.50+$3.00
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.885$44.25+$1.25
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6200.621$38.83+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 20:54Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.26$5.46
10-16 20:54Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.77$16.17
10-16 20:53Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.07$2.10
10-16 20:52Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.94$18.79
10-16 20:51Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.43$8.60
10-16 20:51Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.58$11.60
10-16 20:49Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.13$10.40
10-16 20:46Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.48$33.60
10-16 20:46Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.57$34.20
10-16 00:24Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6$414.00
10-16 00:22Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6$660.00
10-16 00:21Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6$540.00
10-16 00:16Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.55$34.65
10-16 00:08Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6$480.00
10-16 00:01Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6$60.00