yingchong
0x78d9cab0970eed6f9519045c8bb169dfb9764b30
- Realised P&L
- $1.86
- Volume
- $432.22
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $1.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.621 | $1.85 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.46at 0.390U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
- +$2.43at 0.522Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.51at 0.557Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$1.21at 0.647Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
- +$1.20at 0.539Red Wings vs. Panthers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 17:33 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.6209997962 | $1.85 |
| 09-05 08:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999255 | $2.60 |
| 08-13 07:49 | Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.38 |
| 07-26 17:24 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.779999989 | $1.42 |
| 07-03 13:32 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.88 |
| 07-01 10:25 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.5499999185 | $1.35 |
| 07-01 10:25 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999957 | $2.40 |
| 06-23 09:48 | Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.50 |
| 06-04 09:01 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5049999719 | $1.08 |
| 05-24 14:44 | Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.16 |
| 05-17 15:51 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? | BUY | 0.5299998698 | $1.71 |
| 05-14 09:27 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998262 | $2.26 |
| 05-09 14:25 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.08 |
| 05-05 11:45 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.20 |
| 04-30 12:04 | Sabres vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.4899998964 | $2.27 |