umini
0xf9334fdbc8af2158af01d42869a8feff4683ced1
- Realised P&L
- $7.18
- Volume
- $725.17
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $3.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.618 | 0.621 | $2.24 | +$0.01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.235 | $0.77 | −$0.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.02at 0.430Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$2.90at 0.497Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.41at 0.449Knicks vs. Clippers
- +$2.12at 0.380Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$1.81at 0.560Magic vs. Hawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 08:47 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.6179998697 | $2.23 |
| 09-24 18:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999022 | $1.44 |
| 08-03 14:10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999236 | $2.43 |
| 07-30 11:53 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999205 | $2.96 |
| 07-04 07:58 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.489999929 | $2.83 |
| 06-27 12:26 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.7399999257 | $2.39 |
| 06-02 08:22 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.589999931 | $2.31 |
| 05-23 10:51 | Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? | BUY | 0.6599999423 | $1.83 |
| 05-15 17:41 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY | 0.3799998889 | $1.30 |
| 05-11 15:08 | Sabres vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.5699997799 | $1.01 |
| 05-03 12:29 | Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? | BUY | 0.5199999525 | $1.75 |
| 04-15 12:59 | Stars vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.4899999312 | $2.35 |
| 04-12 14:16 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.05 |
| 04-10 13:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | BUY | 0.5399998742 | $0.99 |
| 04-05 12:30 | Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.7339999613 | $2.20 |