PolyBot

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Traders

micromen

0xc5ec460c660b19a2c0a3bf2032ffed7ee5128417

Realised P&L
$-2.52
Volume
$259.23
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$2.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6180.621$2.62+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 08:37Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.6179999957$2.61
09-24 17:52Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?BUY0.7599999843$1.94
08-04 09:51US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.6299998859$1.38
07-30 18:09Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6$1.84
07-04 11:23Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6599999865$1.95
06-28 03:31Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?BUY0.5161426898$2.81
06-02 13:58Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?BUY0.6799998269$1.10
05-17 13:51Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.32$1.27
05-15 10:19Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?BUY0.389999874$1.64
05-11 10:12Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?BUY0.6999995196$1.02
05-03 11:45Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.6999999243$1.85
03-05 13:39Pelicans vs. KingsBUY0.35999988$1.56
03-04 15:50Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY0.52$2.30
03-03 13:45Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.4$1.26
03-02 11:19Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.2599999447$2.54