PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kurong

0xb06a643371217f5ddf73cc187f9b54810e6910d3

Realised P&L
$-7.03
Volume
$830.26
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$3.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6210.640$3.04+$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 18:57Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.6209999446$2.95
08-13 08:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?BUY0.6799999451$1.98
07-26 08:29Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.56$1.33
07-03 06:00Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.6899999294$1.27
06-24 08:39Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3299998893$1.49
05-28 17:15Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?BUY0.4699998571$1.48
05-17 14:30Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.3899999119$1.77
05-14 08:51Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.6789999862$2.07
05-05 11:42Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?BUY0.4899999637$2.43
04-30 19:05Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?BUY0.5099999801$1.54
04-15 13:31Red Wings vs. PanthersBUY0.429999941$2.99
04-11 10:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.7799999407$2.63
04-04 15:36Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.3499998627$1.02
03-23 10:43Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.005$1.00
03-17 15:04Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.7009999358$2.95