kurong
0xb06a643371217f5ddf73cc187f9b54810e6910d3
- Realised P&L
- $-7.03
- Volume
- $830.26
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $3.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.640 | $3.04 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.97at 0.440Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$3.96at 0.430Red Wings vs. Panthers
- +$1.89at 0.350Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$1.02at 0.572Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$0.91at 0.689Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:57 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.6209999446 | $2.95 |
| 08-13 08:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.6799999451 | $1.98 |
| 07-26 08:29 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.56 | $1.33 |
| 07-03 06:00 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6899999294 | $1.27 |
| 06-24 08:39 | Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3299998893 | $1.49 |
| 05-28 17:15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998571 | $1.48 |
| 05-17 14:30 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.3899999119 | $1.77 |
| 05-14 08:51 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.6789999862 | $2.07 |
| 05-05 11:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? | BUY | 0.4899999637 | $2.43 |
| 04-30 19:05 | Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? | BUY | 0.5099999801 | $1.54 |
| 04-15 13:31 | Red Wings vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.429999941 | $2.99 |
| 04-11 10:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.7799999407 | $2.63 |
| 04-04 15:36 | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.3499998627 | $1.02 |
| 03-23 10:43 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 15:04 | Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.7009999358 | $2.95 |