lumeror
0x5ec3d545ccf3aae50fcde124ab7e3f3136dedf24
- Realised P&L
- $4.41
- Volume
- $838.35
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $1.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.618 | 0.621 | $1.69 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.41at 0.260Clippers vs. Timberwolves
- +$3.13at 0.442Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$2.57at 0.489Blue Jackets vs. Panthers
- +$2.05at 0.549Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$1.82at 0.507Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:46 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.6179999095 | $1.68 |
| 09-24 16:52 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4699999719 | $2.01 |
| 08-03 15:50 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.4299999108 | $2.41 |
| 07-31 15:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.8699999968 | $2.74 |
| 07-04 11:36 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.85 |
| 06-27 09:17 | Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5199999554 | $1.40 |
| 06-04 15:31 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.4399999238 | $2.54 |
| 05-11 12:49 | Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.2199999393 | $2.68 |
| 05-07 14:59 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399998552 | $1.08 |
| 04-12 16:20 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.649999872 | $1.27 |
| 04-10 11:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.6699999389 | $2.51 |
| 04-05 13:47 | Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7039999343 | $1.80 |
| 04-01 11:42 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | BUY | 0.6899998352 | $2.68 |
| 03-19 12:43 | Islanders vs. Senators | BUY | 0.5499998785 | $1.81 |
| 03-17 10:29 | Bruins vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4099998778 | $1.61 |