PolyBot

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Traders

lumeror

0x5ec3d545ccf3aae50fcde124ab7e3f3136dedf24

Realised P&L
$4.41
Volume
$838.35
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$1.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6180.621$1.69+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 09:46Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.6179999095$1.68
09-24 16:52Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.4699999719$2.01
08-03 15:50Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.4299999108$2.41
07-31 15:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.8699999968$2.74
07-04 11:36Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5$1.85
06-27 09:17Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5199999554$1.40
06-04 15:31US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.4399999238$2.54
05-11 12:49Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.2199999393$2.68
05-07 14:59Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?BUY0.3399998552$1.08
04-12 16:20Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.649999872$1.27
04-10 11:21Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?BUY0.6699999389$2.51
04-05 13:47Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.7039999343$1.80
04-01 11:42Nothing Ever Happens: MarchBUY0.6899998352$2.68
03-19 12:43Islanders vs. SenatorsBUY0.5499998785$1.81
03-17 10:29Bruins vs. CanadiensBUY0.4099998778$1.61