PolyBot

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Traders

AliAlial

0x3c41135f94c3f04b4f263fa295b40d8c4cabbc0e

Realised P&L
$15.10
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$1.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6210.621$1.76−$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 15:01Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.6209998874$1.76
09-05 04:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.52$1.04
08-13 09:17US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.7599997532$2.71
07-26 17:15Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.6789999782$2.80
07-03 08:15Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7599993644$1.10
06-30 19:37Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5899999684$1.87
06-23 09:50Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.4099999617$2.78
06-07 07:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?BUY0.7$1.42
05-28 10:28Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.2699999054$1.94
05-15 13:17Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?BUY0.3259999239$1.50
05-09 18:16Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?BUY0.7299998285$2.98
05-03 14:30US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY0.64$1.99
04-30 20:21Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.8099999955$3.60
04-22 13:19Stars vs. WildBUY0.4699999579$1.95
04-12 15:27Canadiens vs. IslandersBUY0.4799999396$2.86