daxini
0xbb29e9bc9dd34ab4427cb6feacc23aca8a544751
- Realised P&L
- $-10.24
- Volume
- $725.90
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $2.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.621 | $2.44 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.66at 0.260Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$2.11at 0.552Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
- +$1.81at 0.560Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$1.74at 0.480Hawks vs. Pacers
- +$1.17at 0.700Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:23 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.620999927 | $2.44 |
| 09-05 03:38 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799997065 | $2.02 |
| 08-13 08:34 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.539999928 | $2.55 |
| 07-26 15:46 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4699999484 | $2.46 |
| 07-03 06:24 | Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2099998825 | $1.18 |
| 06-30 18:00 | Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7799999943 | $2.76 |
| 06-23 08:34 | Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7699999741 | $1.19 |
| 06-07 06:33 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | BUY | 0.3899999515 | $1.93 |
| 05-28 10:49 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.32 |
| 05-24 16:11 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999998989 | $1.78 |
| 05-15 08:01 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5649998037 | $2.85 |
| 05-09 10:19 | Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.2599998807 | $1.22 |
| 05-05 14:50 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY | 0.2599999497 | $2.69 |
| 05-03 14:09 | Wild vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.3699998748 | $1.30 |
| 04-30 13:55 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7299999225 | $1.13 |