yuwenqiushi
0x908fa076be658aa436bdea50ebc6049075309e4f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.27
- Volume
- $669.58
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $1.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.618 | 0.621 | $1.52 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.96at 0.430Nuggets vs. Lakers
- +$2.93at 0.510Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$2.16at 0.560Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
- +$1.64at 0.397Pistons vs. Cavaliers
- +$1.38at 0.600Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 07:07 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.6179999231 | $1.51 |
| 08-03 11:08 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.5699999516 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 15:26 | Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 07-04 04:46 | Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6599999899 | $1.31 |
| 06-27 14:44 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.10 |
| 06-04 09:55 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.5899999397 | $1.86 |
| 05-23 11:35 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? | BUY | 0.7599999855 | $2.10 |
| 05-17 12:59 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999408 | $2.27 |
| 05-15 15:16 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.3899998786 | $1.06 |
| 05-07 09:03 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.16 |
| 05-03 11:33 | Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.2199999309 | $2.10 |
| 04-15 13:02 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.5619999474 | $1.54 |
| 04-12 11:20 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April? | BUY | 0.6499999478 | $2.42 |
| 04-10 16:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.32 |
| 04-05 13:44 | Capitals vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.5199999324 | $1.23 |