PolyBot

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No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by October 15?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-16
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.41. up 0.15 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.23 to 0.61. 91 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.42187187
0.43260447
0.7583530
0.7641571
0.77180751
0.9427778
0.9546824
0.96113936
0.975001,436
0.981171,553
0.995192,072

Spread0.03Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39219219
0.38205424
0.3420444
0.2840484
0.2639523
0.2589613
0.2330643
0.2179721
0.048729
0.03137866
0.022291,095
0.011,0172,112

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61219219
0.62205424
0.6620444
0.7240484
0.7439523
0.7589613
0.7730643
0.7979721
0.968729
0.97137866
0.982291,095
0.991,0172,112

Spread0.03Mid0.59

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.58187187
0.57260447
0.2583530
0.2441571
0.23180751
0.0627778
0.0546824
0.04113936
0.035001,436
0.021171,553
0.015192,072

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Started-with-20-USDYes908.59
pootytherewardfarmerYes176.51
rocky42015Yes83.41
AJSVYes56.15
0x58ce…7be2Yes37.5
qcp2Yes25.27
T22222222222Yes20
puravidaYes8.06
0x3f36…7a58Yes6.78
tradetosurvive1Yes5.16
0xa923ED53a07808A34524b5185a82b8F76651AAD8-1774721734066Yes5
winexecutescaleYes1.91
KenneyGYes1.31
.brain.No227.08
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo200
d1namiiitNo200
Te0n2No160
wish-No157.07
iuH1398SINo55.32
UntitledUser1No53.28

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:36:15BUYNo0.632594706877$48.76
12:52:44BUYNo0.46521276694$43.73
10:41:15BUYNo0.4120$8.20
10:35:06SELLNo0.4123$9.44
09:31:21SELLNo0.4720$9.40
08:27:44SELLNo0.2534$8.49
18:55:39BUYNo0.656$33.60
07:50:21SELLYes0.389027989820$7.64
03:13:02SELLYes0.4250$21.00
20:07:54BUYNo0.315$1.55
20:06:11SELLNo0.432520$8.65
17:06:08SELLYes0.372$0.90
17:06:06SELLYes0.4479659878328$146.72
13:53:35SELLNo0.512$6.10
13:18:27SELLYes0.442$0.82
13:18:26SELLYes0.4346684741251$109.02
13:16:24SELLNo0.513$1.42
13:14:00SELLYes0.441$0.46
13:08:41BUYNo0.559999995518$10.00
12:44:08BUYNo0.54999998396$3.42
12:43:47BUYNo0.5486$46.47
10:59:56BUYYes0.522$1.06
10:59:56BUYYes0.490$0.00
10:54:17BUYYes0.48999993067$3.25
10:53:06BUYYes0.5117$8.50