PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

.brain.

0xb1a1985278c50a25758e2e25a217d084706add34

Realised P&L
$16.3k
Volume
$1.38M
Markets traded
2,812
Open portfolio
$10.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,812
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August? · No0.8120.925$3.7k+$450.96
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5350.515$1.4k$53.47
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? · No0.7350.996$972.10+$254.42
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.4190.645$871.51+$305.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.775$775.00+$5.00
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · No0.6440.760$661.92+$101.13
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be at least 0.8%? · No0.7800.994$643.00+$138.42
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? · No0.7120.890$237.55+$47.49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7250.745$235.42+$6.45
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% or less in August? · No0.8940.989$108.39+$10.42
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · No0.8100.805$80.50$0.50
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.5500.470$70.50$12.00
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in August? · No0.8400.910$69.23+$5.33
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.3510.415$47.72+$7.37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6300.445$44.50$18.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:27Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.35$85.05
09-16 17:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.5199999995$200.00
09-16 17:55Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be at least 0.8%?SELL0.9926183904$208.56
09-16 17:45Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?BUY0.889999978$15.00
09-16 13:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.4$40.00
09-16 13:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.8$40.00
09-16 08:23Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?BUY0.9150431034$212.29
09-15 23:20Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?BUY0.9430504381$1.1k
09-15 23:04Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be at least 0.8%?SELL0.999$84.92
09-15 19:57Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs Rostik999 Club - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.46$17.03
09-15 19:56Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs Rostik999 Club - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3977416357$4.28
09-15 12:15Dota 2: NS Club vs Recrent Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group BBUY0.55$110.00
09-15 12:13Dota 2: NS Club vs Recrent Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group BBUY0.55$110.00
09-15 10:23Dota 2: NS Club vs Recrent Club - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.7807329217$161.83
09-14 19:44Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?BUY0.85$117.76