PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

.brain.

0xb1a1985278c50a25758e2e25a217d084706add34

Realised P&L
$7.5k
Volume
$1.70M
Markets traded
3,258
Open portfolio
$8.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,258
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6700.715$2.1k+$134.33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.7020.705$1.2k+$4.41
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.745$1.0k+$49.30
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6950.825$748.16+$117.70
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? · Yes0.8030.855$712.13+$43.60
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · No0.6420.750$653.21+$93.78
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2? · Yes0.8000.974$376.74+$67.14
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? · No0.5420.615$298.07+$35.51
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? · No0.7120.940$250.90+$60.83
Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? · No0.8010.875$212.15+$17.69
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? · Yes0.8900.845$97.17−$5.17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7250.875$87.50+$15.04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.2500.335$83.75+$21.25
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · No0.8100.835$83.50+$2.50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7800.555$71.15−$28.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSELL0.76$194.54
11-01 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSELL0.63$264.60
11-01 22:59Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.44$184.80
11-01 22:59Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.98$158.06
11-01 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.6199999984$100.00
11-01 22:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.51$318.04
11-01 21:54Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?BUY0.8015630668$194.46
11-01 21:27Dota 2: Team Synapse vs SOLID - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.73$28.21
11-01 21:26Dota 2: Team Synapse vs SOLID - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.73$37.13
11-01 21:26Dota 2: Team Synapse vs SOLID - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.72$14.40
11-01 20:412026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.71$1.1k
11-01 16:52Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.914$328.00
11-01 16:37Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.81$486.00
11-01 16:08Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.4699999999$200.00
11-01 16:03Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.4799999996$400.00