.brain.
0xb1a1985278c50a25758e2e25a217d084706add34
- Realised P&L
- $16.3k
- Volume
- $1.38M
- Markets traded
- 2,812
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,812
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10AM ET
- +$1.9kat 0.779Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.7kat 0.509Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.394S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?
- +$1.4kat 0.729Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:27 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.35 | $85.05 |
| 09-16 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 17:55 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be at least 0.8%? | SELL | 0.9926183904 | $208.56 |
| 09-16 17:45 | Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.889999978 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 13:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 08:23 | Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.9150431034 | $212.29 |
| 09-15 23:20 | Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.9430504381 | $1.1k |
| 09-15 23:04 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be at least 0.8%? | SELL | 0.999 | $84.92 |
| 09-15 19:57 | Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs Rostik999 Club - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.46 | $17.03 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs Rostik999 Club - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3977416357 | $4.28 |
| 09-15 12:15 | Dota 2: NS Club vs Recrent Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 09-15 12:13 | Dota 2: NS Club vs Recrent Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 09-15 10:23 | Dota 2: NS Club vs Recrent Club - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7807329217 | $161.83 |
| 09-14 19:44 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August? | BUY | 0.85 | $117.76 |