PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

meowtai

0x72a22d4d155079da8f50c89d4c6c03b6428e7b65

Realised P&L
$74.4k
Volume
$16.81M
Markets traded
1,867
Open portfolio
$162.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,867
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$20.5k+$500.00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$19.5k$500.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9250.945$11.3k+$242.53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9120.935$10.3k+$252.34
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9900.994$7.9k+$28.97
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9590.960$5.8k+$5.41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9620.973$4.9k+$54.17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9460.958$4.8k+$58.95
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9870.997$4.5k+$43.25
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9540.977$4.4k+$104.60
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8250.835$4.2k+$51.78
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9700.991$4.2k+$87.92
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8380.895$4.1k+$260.73
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9480.958$2.9k+$29.82
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9520.974$2.7k+$60.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:54Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25.5B by September 30?SELL0.9312903226$144.35
09-17 18:53Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?BUY0.837044102$212.38
09-17 18:32Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.87$80.71
09-17 16:15Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?BUY0.82$112.21
09-17 16:11Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$1.6k
09-17 14:33Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6945981684$74.33
09-17 14:33Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.691$199.00
09-17 14:19Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUY0.962$25.31
09-17 14:19Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUY0.961$24.65
09-17 14:19Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUY0.9612946$48.06
09-17 14:11Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.89$178.00
09-16 20:24Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026?BUY0.96$6.37
09-16 18:49Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?BUY0.89$35.60
09-16 16:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$1.8k
09-16 14:51Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.353$20.47