wish-
0x72a22d4d155079da8f50c89d4c6c03b6428e7b65
- Realised P&L
- $68.9k
- Volume
- $17.30M
- Markets traded
- 1,959
- Open portfolio
- $156.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,959
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.1kat 0.712No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$7.5kat 0.998US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$7.5kat 0.002Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$5.7kat 0.994MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.981US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:35 | Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | BUY | 0.7957275204 | $146.02 |
| 10-31 06:16 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $720.00 |
| 10-31 06:09 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.95 | $848.13 |
| 10-30 05:14 | Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.3887632946 | $31.44 |
| 10-30 05:02 | Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 10-29 13:57 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.995 | $35.04 |
| 10-29 05:46 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.988 | $1.2k |
| 10-28 09:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.949 | $1.5k |
| 10-28 09:37 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.9k |
| 10-28 09:36 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $424.24 |
| 10-28 09:36 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.4k |
| 10-28 09:35 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $314.83 |
| 10-28 03:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 10-27 22:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.62 | $620.00 |
| 10-27 18:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $300.19 |