PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wish-

0x72a22d4d155079da8f50c89d4c6c03b6428e7b65

Realised P&L
$68.9k
Volume
$17.30M
Markets traded
1,959
Open portfolio
$156.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,959
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9850.995$16.1k+$155.12
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9450.966$15.6k+$335.57
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9530.978$13.0k+$328.43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9570.972$12.1k+$175.80
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9140.955$10.5k+$449.02
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.9180.945$8.5k+$245.18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8280.825$7.4k−$24.40
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9650.986$5.9k+$121.69
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9570.980$5.6k+$131.75
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9320.928$4.7k−$15.95
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8380.945$4.3k+$490.29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8810.945$4.2k+$282.11
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9540.973$4.0k+$77.83
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? · Yes0.8740.810$3.1k−$246.18
Will The Odyssey rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? · Yes0.9010.925$2.9k+$75.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:35Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?BUY0.7957275204$146.02
10-31 06:16Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.72$720.00
10-31 06:09Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.95$848.13
10-30 05:14Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.3887632946$31.44
10-30 05:02Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?BUY0.77$30.80
10-29 13:57Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?SELL0.995$35.04
10-29 05:46Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.988$1.2k
10-28 09:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.949$1.5k
10-28 09:37Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.93$1.9k
10-28 09:36Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?SELL0.962$424.24
10-28 09:36Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$1.4k
10-28 09:35Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?SELL0.995$314.83
10-28 03:57Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.55$549.99
10-27 22:09Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.62$620.00
10-27 18:14Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?SELL0.996$300.19