rocky42015
0x2c1a7a67e6f71bd61a616841f54ae0df8e8d42d8
- Realised P&L
- $-9.3k
- Volume
- $8.77M
- Markets traded
- 5,529
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,529
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.123Nuggets vs. Spurs
- +$1.3kat 0.234Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?
- +$1.3kat 0.131Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?
- +$1.2kat 0.060Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?
- +$1.1kat 0.135LoL: S2G Esports vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group F
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:49 | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.41 | $11.48 |
| 08-02 13:07 | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.41 | $15.99 |
| 08-02 08:32 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.28 | $12.60 |
| 08-02 07:44 | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.59 | $13.57 |
| 08-02 04:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.22 |
| 08-02 02:13 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 08-01 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 08-01 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 07-31 14:23 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 07-31 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 07-31 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.25 |
| 07-30 14:35 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.34 |
| 07-29 23:09 | Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July? | SELL | 0.546 | $2.73 |
| 07-29 14:29 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL | 0.764 | $15.28 |