PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rocky42015

0x2c1a7a67e6f71bd61a616841f54ae0df8e8d42d8

Realised P&L
$-9.3k
Volume
$8.77M
Markets traded
5,529
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,529
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.5590.585$275.20+$12.35
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? · No0.8060.910$269.00+$30.58
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9550.957$249.75+$0.41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7330.645$239.55$32.59
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · No0.7000.695$237.25$1.74
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · No0.9780.993$233.85+$3.54
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? · Yes0.4000.690$141.95+$59.65
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · No0.4390.395$141.81$15.95
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3200.240$133.54$44.51
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.9760.996$129.41+$2.55
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 2? · Yes0.8601.000$118.43+$16.53
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · Yes0.4540.340$101.51$33.98
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · Yes0.3550.415$97.99+$14.09
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? · No0.2850.275$87.79$3.14
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.2000.165$78.07$16.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:49Counter-Strike: GenOne vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsSELL0.41$11.48
08-02 13:07Counter-Strike: GenOne vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsSELL0.41$15.99
08-02 08:32S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.28$12.60
08-02 07:44Counter-Strike: GenOne vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsSELL0.59$13.57
08-02 04:34S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.38$7.22
08-02 02:13US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3$2.00
08-01 16:20Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 1?SELL0.46$9.20
08-01 08:01Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 1?SELL0.49$4.90
08-01 07:54Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 1?SELL0.49$2.94
07-31 14:23Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?SELL0.52$10.40
07-31 14:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 1?BUY0.07$0.35
07-31 09:22Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?BUY0.2$1.25
07-30 14:35No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.014$1.34
07-29 23:09Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?SELL0.546$2.73
07-29 14:29Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?SELL0.764$15.28