PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Te0n2

0xd950ef37b32702061d63e44a8475c360193cad1b

Realised P&L
$28.9k
Volume
$3.62M
Markets traded
2,349
Open portfolio
$18.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,349
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8040.840$1.0k+$43.28
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · No0.6270.885$885.01+$257.67
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3170.345$782.30+$63.18
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.7640.770$744.22+$6.01
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.3860.450$543.75+$76.86
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8680.825$536.23$28.25
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? · No0.8700.885$531.00+$9.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7320.745$521.39+$9.07
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8750.855$512.99$12.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? · No0.9700.973$486.25+$1.25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7020.780$468.00+$46.50
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5810.635$444.50+$37.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8340.885$442.51+$25.50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.925$370.00+$10.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4590.435$348.00$19.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.01$14.99
08-02 11:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.72$174.05
08-02 10:36Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$2.48
08-02 07:15Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?SELL0.36$65.98
08-02 00:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.88$251.08
08-01 23:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.7497432983$204.45
08-01 22:11Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.37$3.70
08-01 22:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.69$65.89
08-01 08:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.94$1.5k
08-01 00:52Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.66$65.99
08-01 00:51Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.64$144.76
08-01 00:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.75$75.15
07-31 23:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.82$242.60
07-31 22:46US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.62$202.12
07-31 22:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.49$290.57