PolyBot

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Traders

Te0n2

0xd950ef37b32702061d63e44a8475c360193cad1b

Realised P&L
$43.6k
Volume
$5.15M
Markets traded
2,849
Open portfolio
$49.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,849
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · No0.9040.915$4.6k+$54.45
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.8620.905$3.7k+$176.90
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9160.992$2.6k+$198.63
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6880.715$2.1k+$80.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · No0.7000.770$2.0k+$181.25
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.6670.715$1.9k+$130.30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? · No0.8230.795$1.8k−$64.32
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · No0.7500.685$1.7k−$162.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.7280.735$1.5k+$13.72
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · No0.5560.585$1.5k+$72.05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? · No0.8760.885$1.2k+$12.12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5100.386$1.1k−$361.90
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes0.7270.735$1.1k+$12.50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.7560.735$1.0k−$30.00
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.8840.955$955.01+$70.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 14:25US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8942175227$118.39
10-27 21:19Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.27375$43.80
10-25 23:57Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?SELL0.94$145.40
10-25 23:55Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.92$174.79
10-25 23:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?BUY0.96$653.93
10-25 22:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2244964667$33.67
10-25 22:47Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.38$57.00
10-25 22:06Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.88$22.00
10-25 21:16Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.999$998.99
10-25 21:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.66$3.30
10-25 20:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.6528571429$22.85
10-25 17:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.6$586.19
10-25 16:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.87$91.35
10-25 16:56Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.59$507.40
10-22 22:33NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.22$364.43