Te0n2
0xd950ef37b32702061d63e44a8475c360193cad1b
- Realised P&L
- $43.6k
- Volume
- $5.15M
- Markets traded
- 2,849
- Open portfolio
- $49.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,849
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.150Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$4.0kat 0.387Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.6kat 0.004US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.230US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.002Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:25 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8942175227 | $118.39 |
| 10-27 21:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.27375 | $43.80 |
| 10-25 23:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.94 | $145.40 |
| 10-25 23:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.92 | $174.79 |
| 10-25 23:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.96 | $653.93 |
| 10-25 22:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2244964667 | $33.67 |
| 10-25 22:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.38 | $57.00 |
| 10-25 22:06 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $22.00 |
| 10-25 21:16 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $998.99 |
| 10-25 21:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-25 20:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.6528571429 | $22.85 |
| 10-25 17:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.6 | $586.19 |
| 10-25 16:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $91.35 |
| 10-25 16:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.59 | $507.40 |
| 10-22 22:33 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $364.43 |