KenneyG
0xc90151ca931761870dddd89bfc84cd80bdfd0c1d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $635.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,696
- Open portfolio
- $890.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,696
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.40at 0.918Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$200.93at 0.150US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
- +$159.99at 0.200US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$158.25at 0.535Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$151.34at 0.773Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.62 |
| 11-01 08:23 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.26 |
| 10-31 06:23 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.07 |
| 10-31 02:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.69 |
| 10-30 23:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.16 |
| 10-30 20:23 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $1.39 |
| 10-30 12:23 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.24 |
| 10-30 12:23 | Government shutdown by December 12? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.68 |
| 10-30 11:23 | Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.45 |
| 10-30 03:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.44 |
| 10-30 00:23 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.08 |
| 10-29 15:23 | Government shutdown by December 12? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.18 |
| 10-29 08:25 | Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.19 |
| 10-29 03:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.44 |
| 10-28 21:23 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.67 |