PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

UntitledUser1

0x43b9fb91a92b1f9c5aa6ea779f418b4e768d5db9

Realised P&L
$7.4k
Volume
$1.16M
Markets traded
577
Open portfolio
$84.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded577
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 01:05Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?BUY0.57$23.12
09-25 00:58Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?BUY0.96$28.80
09-25 00:28Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?BUY0.96$46.08
09-24 22:10Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.46$26.98
09-24 22:05Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?SELL0.976$12.80
09-24 20:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.09$45.65
09-24 19:51Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)BUY0.47$112.80
09-24 17:32US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.995$99.50
09-24 14:52Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.23$2.76
09-24 14:15Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.23$2.15
09-24 08:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.4345848319$140.16
09-24 04:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.597$290.64
09-24 04:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.994$337.37
09-24 04:26Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.992$29.76
09-24 02:46Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.07$6.93