PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x3f36e0823837286e470865d61a5ac05dd4d77a58

0x3f36e0823837286e470865d61a5ac05dd4d77a58

Realised P&L
$5.97
Volume
$158.34
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$8.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · No0.8400.595$4.25−$1.75
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by October 15? · Yes0.5340.405$2.75−$0.88
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes0.5100.220$1.29−$1.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 02:39Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.84$3.00
09-27 02:39Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.84$3.00
09-27 01:13Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.5099999949$3.00
09-26 12:35Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.08$0.82
09-26 12:34Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.117$0.03
09-26 12:34Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.122$0.03
09-26 12:34Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.122$0.26
09-26 12:33Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.189$0.31
09-26 12:33Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.211$0.04
09-26 12:13Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.76$0.14
09-26 12:12Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.2043189345$3.00
09-26 12:12Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.76$0.16
09-26 12:11Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.76$0.29
09-26 12:11Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.76$0.14
09-26 12:09Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.75$0.37