Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-29
Resolves by: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.030. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.028. Range 0.025 to 0.030. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.036	6	6
0.039	47	52
0.040	157	209
0.041	158	367
0.049	14	381
0.050	80	461
0.245	136	597
0.588	40	637
0.589	392	1,029
0.590	483	1,512
0.819	24	1,536
0.993	8	1,543

Spread0.012Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.024	6	6
0.023	36	42
0.022	50	93
0.021	300	393
0.020	986	1,379
0.006	205	1,584
0.005	39	1,623
0.004	144	1,767
0.003	222	1,989
0.002	1,925	3,914
0.001	10,639	14,553

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.976	6	6
0.977	36	42
0.978	50	93
0.979	300	393
0.980	986	1,379
0.994	205	1,584
0.995	39	1,623
0.996	144	1,767
0.997	222	1,989
0.998	1,925	3,914
0.999	10,639	14,553

Spread0.012Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.964	6	6
0.961	47	52
0.960	157	209
0.959	158	367
0.951	14	381
0.950	80	461
0.755	136	597
0.412	40	637
0.411	392	1,029
0.410	483	1,512
0.181	24	1,536
0.007	8	1,543

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TimeTraveler	Yes	3,217.27
dzwigu	Yes	2,725.8
planktonXD	Yes	392.01
DannyRick	Yes	267.15
cc416	Yes	258.33
0x63eFBd82146FEd3443040eB26de1F67aF899C29D-1778730693091	Yes	243.84
slurps	Yes	221.82
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	160.16
0x5533…51ba	Yes	133
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	128.5
SamuelWatskins	Yes	108.35
86fgh	Yes	91.4
MarcGarcia	Yes	85.72
DJGothams	Yes	75
phkz	Yes	75
0xed61…8844	Yes	73
gaut6375	Yes	50
0x117879e54632d2342d6F0F5f48789E064bE269bB-1769017710895	Yes	46
0x93f9…a1ab	Yes	43.8
Dummytic	Yes	40.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:02:31	BUY	Yes	0.029	11	$0.31
12:55:17	BUY	No	0.9789281228	143	$140.28
10:18:24	SELL	No	0.9653055266	19	$18.51
06:31:05	SELL	No	0.966	6	$5.43
06:30:45	BUY	No	0.9779999968	6	$5.50
08:25:33	BUY	No	0.978	19	$18.76
16:00:15	SELL	No	0.966	6	$5.43
15:57:21	BUY	No	0.9779999968	6	$5.50
13:58:50	SELL	No	0.966	6	$5.33
13:58:33	BUY	No	0.9779999978	6	$5.40
00:00:26	BUY	Yes	0.038	5	$0.19
18:34:33	SELL	No	0.959	6	$5.27
18:34:03	BUY	No	0.978	6	$5.38
14:24:45	BUY	Yes	0.036	30	$1.08
22:39:45	BUY	No	0.958	20	$19.26
21:58:14	BUY	No	0.9491363635	46	$43.96
13:57:41	BUY	Yes	0.059	20	$1.19
16:21:19	SELL	No	0.9629547101	6	$5.32
16:21:08	BUY	No	0.9779999978	6	$5.40
21:09:24	SELL	Yes	0.021	33	$0.70
09:13:19	SELL	Yes	0.02	96	$1.92
09:12:17	SELL	Yes	0.025	40	$1.00
09:12:11	SELL	Yes	0.025	49	$1.22
09:09:16	BUY	Yes	0.021	185	$3.88
16:51:02	SELL	No	0.979	11	$10.77