PolyBot

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Traders

DannyRick

0x3de2a278f9c0ffb7f5ed983d2daafe90187bde5f

Realised P&L
$-673.05
Volume
$23.0k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$12.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.6830.155$6.81$23.19
Negative GDP growth in 2026? · Yes0.2440.021$5.48$59.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Down0.8300.000$0.00$16.60
Portland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcats · Weber State Wildcats0.5800.000$0.00$75.40
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? · No0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$8.30
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · No0.0090.000$0.00$29.29
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs · Blackhawks0.8770.000$0.00$221.25
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$13.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.6630.000$0.00$13.19
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? · Yes0.4830.000$0.00$60.00
Mavericks vs. Pelicans · Mavericks0.6470.000$0.00$411.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.0690.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-08 23:54Negative GDP growth in 2026?BUY0.2416400351$15.24
03-02 01:13Negative GDP growth in 2026?BUY0.2449999971$50.00
02-25 07:06US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$30.00
02-23 03:48Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.6831683098$30.00
02-09 01:47Seahawks vs. PatriotsSELL0.15$71.43
02-09 01:39Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.2099999984$100.00
01-29 10:45Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.95$102.60
01-22 23:07No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$10.00
01-22 21:30No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.0083869565$19.29
01-21 21:47Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.77$53.90
01-13 09:50Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.7853$38.71
01-13 09:27Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.149999976$4.96
01-13 09:25Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.7799999938$19.71
01-13 09:17Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSELL0.27$12.09
01-13 09:16Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.4399999921$19.39