DannyRick
0x3de2a278f9c0ffb7f5ed983d2daafe90187bde5f
- Realised P&L
- $-673.05
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $12.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.00at 0.400Chiefs vs. Chargers
- +$156.01at 0.751Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
- +$113.82at 0.621Red Sox vs. Athletics
- +$79.92at 0.668Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$76.00at 0.740Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-08 23:54 | Negative GDP growth in 2026? | BUY | 0.2416400351 | $15.24 |
| 03-02 01:13 | Negative GDP growth in 2026? | BUY | 0.2449999971 | $50.00 |
| 02-25 07:06 | US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 02-23 03:48 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.6831683098 | $30.00 |
| 02-09 01:47 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | SELL | 0.15 | $71.43 |
| 02-09 01:39 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |
| 01-29 10:45 | Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.95 | $102.60 |
| 01-22 23:07 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 01-22 21:30 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0083869565 | $19.29 |
| 01-21 21:47 | Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.77 | $53.90 |
| 01-13 09:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7853 | $38.71 |
| 01-13 09:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $4.96 |
| 01-13 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $19.71 |
| 01-13 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $12.09 |
| 01-13 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $19.39 |