PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MarcGarcia

0xe35858a1fe00da698d28e8f679606d4834180822

Realised P&L
$-884.43
Volume
$93.3k
Markets traded
369
Open portfolio
$170.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded369
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5300.595$44.91+$4.91
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4750.457$38.48$1.52
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2930.095$29.21$60.79
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.5440.150$27.55$72.45
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.3230.085$14.98$42.02
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · Yes0.2350.052$11.50$40.50
Negative GDP growth in 2026? · Yes0.1750.021$1.76$13.24
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4800.080$1.66$8.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 18:40Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4749999961$40.00
09-14 18:392026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299999938$40.00
09-13 14:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.3499999948$10.00
09-13 14:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSELL0.4862409986$10.13
09-13 14:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-13 14:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.28$9.65
09-13 14:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.2899999968$10.00
09-13 14:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.27$11.25
09-13 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.2399999981$10.00
09-13 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.62$12.90
09-13 14:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.4804298348$10.00
09-12 17:03US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaBUY0.5799999992$30.00
09-01 15:45Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.7$94.59
08-26 20:52Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
07-24 20:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.3399999857$10.00