MarcGarcia
0xe35858a1fe00da698d28e8f679606d4834180822
- Realised P&L
- $-884.43
- Volume
- $93.3k
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $170.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.07at 0.701Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$190.08at 0.754Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$121.29at 0.790Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
- +$104.55at 0.346Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$99.85at 0.748Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 18:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4749999961 | $40.00 |
| 09-14 18:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299999938 | $40.00 |
| 09-13 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.4862409986 | $10.13 |
| 09-13 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $9.65 |
| 09-13 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $11.25 |
| 09-13 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $12.90 |
| 09-13 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4804298348 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:03 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 15:45 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.7 | $94.59 |
| 08-26 20:52 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |