cc416
0x8242222828fe3ce882b4c6e75ab5ca380ec7cb6e
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $320.9k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.338Will Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026?
- +$816.25at 0.387Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?
- +$461.04at 0.296Will Pump.fun reach $0.0042 by December 31, 2026?
- +$296.36at 0.155Will Pump.fun reach $0.0054 by December 31, 2026?
- +$244.84at 0.037Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:12 | Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-09 14:31 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3960171116 | $57.86 |
| 09-06 11:52 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 09-06 11:32 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | SELL | 0.382 | $16.04 |
| 09-01 04:50 | Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5096217131 | $33.14 |
| 08-31 18:04 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.044 | $10.31 |
| 08-31 16:01 | Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $29.40 |
| 08-30 10:55 | Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $17.56 |
| 08-30 09:39 | Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $27.00 |
| 08-30 09:04 | Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $39.60 |
| 08-29 02:41 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0062 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $31.68 |
| 08-29 02:41 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $37.92 |
| 08-25 17:00 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.154 | $30.80 |
| 08-25 08:39 | Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0512530956 | $13.16 |
| 08-24 09:50 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $45.00 |