PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xed617838a3b5fc9719132d95ddbca976bd898844

Realised P&L
$-114.58
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$81.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.5141.000$57.00+$27.69
US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.7201.000$23.00+$6.44
Negative GDP growth in 2026? · Yes0.1660.021$1.50$10.62
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$49.58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.60
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$4.48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25? · Yes0.3420.000$0.00$72.55
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$15.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 12:11US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.16$4.48
04-22 10:44Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.071$4.76
04-11 11:48Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.089$5.96
04-01 17:59Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL0.033$0.49
03-27 07:40US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.72$16.56
03-26 21:34Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.09$1.35
03-26 16:32US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.1$5.80
03-26 10:30US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.13$7.54
03-25 20:24US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.49$15.68
03-25 17:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.09$3.60
03-25 14:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25?BUY0.19$30.04
03-25 04:46Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.67$49.58
03-25 03:39US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.51$27.54
03-25 00:27Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?BUY0.4998$12.50
03-24 23:26Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?BUY0.236$1.89