0xed617838a3b5fc9719132d95ddbca976bd898844
- Realised P&L
- $-114.58
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $81.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.514 | 1.000 | $57.00 | +$27.69 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.720 | 1.000 | $23.00 | +$6.44 |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.021 | $1.50 | −$10.62 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.58 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.15 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.48 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25? · Yes | 0.342 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.55 |
| Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.29at 0.236Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$-0.85at 0.090Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$-0.91at 0.230Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
- +$-1.21at 0.089Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$-1.74at 0.130US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 12:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.48 |
| 04-22 10:44 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.071 | $4.76 |
| 04-11 11:48 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.089 | $5.96 |
| 04-01 17:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.49 |
| 03-27 07:40 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $16.56 |
| 03-26 21:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 03-26 16:32 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.80 |
| 03-26 10:30 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.54 |
| 03-25 20:24 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.49 | $15.68 |
| 03-25 17:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 03-25 14:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25? | BUY | 0.19 | $30.04 |
| 03-25 04:46 | Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.67 | $49.58 |
| 03-25 03:39 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.51 | $27.54 |
| 03-25 00:27 | Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.4998 | $12.50 |
| 03-24 23:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | BUY | 0.236 | $1.89 |